Is the RV Industry Headed for a Slowdown?

There is a little known fact about the RV sector that the rest of America should pay heed to. The RV industry has long been an economic barometer of sorts, providing a leading indicator of the direction of the economy as a whole.   “R.V.’s have always preceded the rest of the economy in a downturn and in an upturn,” said Richard Curtin, an economist at the University of Michigan.  Many members of this industry are currently watching this trend as they see RV sales starting to level off.

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RV industry shipments aim to hit 539,900 through the end of 2018, in what would mark 9 straight years of growth.  This is a 7% increase over 2017 which tallied 504,600, and still less than the 550,000 forecasted for 2019.  Shipments year over year through Q1 saw a 13.4% lift.  These figures were provided by Frank Hugelmeyer, President of the RV Industry Association, to the association back in June.

Mr. Hugelmeyer has a lot to be optimistic about with the aging population, which tend to be the bread and butter of the RV industry, as well as outsized interest from the millennial age group, who are entering their generational period of extra discretionary income.  This all seems to align with the fact that since 2010, when the sector was emerging from the financial crisis, the RV industry has grown at an annual average of 12.6%.

Not everyone, however, shares Mr. Hugelmeyer’s glass half-full interpretation.  The city of Elkhart, Indiana, self-dubbed the “RV Capital of the World” is responsible for the production of more than 80 percent of Recreational vehicles sold in the U.S.  Many in the industry here are getting a different sense of the headwinds that propel this little corner of the economy.

While overall RV shipments were up for July, motor home shipments were down 6.5% in the same month.  Richard Curtin sees this as a “yellow light”.  Mr. Curtin acknowledges this could be a temporary condition such as excess inventory due to overproduction involving a nearly 10 year boom.  While not a significant cause for concern yet, there are other future looking indicators to be considered as opposed to historic sales.

Elkhart enjoys some of the lowest unemployment rates in the country, at just over 2%.  Despite this, recently some companies there have been cutting their production workers to four day work weeks instead of five to alleviate some of the excess inventory.

Others point not to the temporary labor glut, but the larger factors that could be contributing to these headwinds.  The RV industry, like many other manufacturing and farming communities are hit first and hardest by the impacts of the trade tariffs.  Cost of goods for many in the industry are seeing increases of up to 50%.  These costs ultimately pass through to the consumer, and many blame the rising prices for the levelling off in shipments.

Senator Joe Donelly, A Democrat whose home is near Elkhart says, “I think there’s serious concern about the effects of tariffs on the R.V. industry.  So many of the components that go into R.V.s are directly affected by these tariffs.  Echoing these sentiments is Mark Dobson, the head of the Economic Development Corporation in Elkhart County, “Nobody’s in a panic, they are just concerned.”

Still, where some fear a downturn, others are thriving.  LCI industries, a large manufacturer of components for RV’s are experiencing growth in growing sectors.  CEO Jason Lippert is optimistic.  His company saw aftermarket component sales rise by more than half in the second quarter, signaling a move to RV maintenance as opposed to new purchases.  Dan Holtz, a small business owner in the industry welcomes a perceived slowdown, as he has said he is having trouble finding enough workers and sees it as nothing more than an expected correction.

While no one in the industry has hit the brakes just yet, some are starting to take their foot off the accelerator.  While Mr. Curtin believes conditions metaphorically display a yellow light, he concludes that, “Depending on how things evolve in six months, it could be a red light, getting to the end of the expansion.”  Every business owner in the RV industry concerned about the slowdown being experienced within the sector should retain qualified counsel to represent their interests.

Thrift & McLemore’s attorneys have over 12 years’ experience in representing clients in the RV space.   Contact Thrift & McLemore by email at [email protected] or by phone at 678-671-4031 to discuss how we can assist you with protecting your RV business today.

Thrift & McLemore Careers – We Are Hiring!

Thrift & McLemore (www.thriftlegal.com) is looking for an associate attorney, licensed and in good standing in the State of Georgia, to handle legal tasks related to real estate closings, real estate leasing work, wills, basic trust work, basic HOA work, car dealerships, RV dealerships, lemon law complaints, commercial collections, consumer timeshare disputes, basic litigation tasks (including court appearances), business start-ups, business formations and more. Would also like the individual to assist with drafting marketing articles, adding to blogs, social media marketing, etc.

Strong desire to train and mentor new associate for long-term relationship.

Work from home unless meeting a client or making a court appearance.

Thrift & McLemore
201 17th Street, Suite 300
Atlanta, GA 30363
Office: 678.671.4031

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Georgia Year’s Support: An Essential Component to Comprehensive Estate Planning

By Kent C. Bailey, Esq., Thrift & McLemore, LLC, September 2, 2018

The death of a loved one is a time of extreme mourning and anguish for surviving family members.  In addition to the grieving process many may worry how they will move forward financially, especially if the deceased was the breadwinner of the family.  While many families are familiar with the need for a will to add financial security in these times, an almost forgotten provision in Georgia Probate Code is often neglected as a tool to care for these loved ones: Year’s Support.

What is Year’s Support? 

Georgia Code Title 53, Chapter 3 – Year’s Support is, despite its name a permanent award to a surviving spouse, minor children, or both.  It is a right to inherit property for these individuals, regardless of what may have been communicated via will, the absence of a will, or the relative position of the majority of creditors.  The beneficiary is generally entitled to receive an amount equaling satisfactory support and maintenance for a period of 12 months for a standard of living that the individual is accustomed to.  This right is not absolute; for if a spouse remarries or dies before filing, or if a minor child reaches the age of majority before filing, this right is lost.  To successfully secure a year’s support claim, a petitioner must file in the probate court in the county of the deceased within two years.  This claim can be challenged by other beneficiaries of the will, and the award will ultimately depend on the court’s discretion.

In Laymen’s Terms

Year’s Support is in actuality an antiquated law that has been on the books in Georgia for decades, dating back to a time when males were the primary provider and females were the primary caregivers within households.  While it holds a dated application in modern society, it is nonetheless an active law that can be very effective for families depending on the situation.  In a nutshell, it is a way to ensure that families of deceased individuals are not left out in the cold due to the decedent’s neglect in creating an effective estate plan, or due to changes in the decedent’s financial situation since the creation of an estate plan.  A properly petitioned Year’s Support claim places spouses and minor children squarely in the front of the line when it comes to divvying up deceased individuals assets, ensuring the family is fed before most creditors or distant money hungry relatives.

Applying Year’s Support Strategically

By terms of a properly executed will in Georgia, an individual would most often have a surviving spouse elect between the right of seeking an award of Year’s Support, or taking the property under the will as it exists.  For decedents facing significant debt at the end of life or blended families, this offers significant flexibility with regards to the estate.

Year’s Support is especially beneficial for families of deceased individuals with high levels of debt relative to assets.  Be it end of life care or some other reason, often times creditors can take the lion-share of an estate leaving surviving family members to fend for themselves.  A Year’s Support election pushes these family members to the front of the line at the expense of said creditors.  This does not include mortgage debt, but does extinguish personal debt such as credit cards, student loans, etc.

Blended families are another area where Year’s Support enjoys high participation.  If a decedent does a poor job of leaving assets to minor children in the event of remarriage, or leaves the very home that a second spouse lives in to his minor children, Year’s Support offers recourse for the aggrieved parties.  While many blended families are able to get along cordially, Year’s Support can be the last bastion of support for others engaged in a nasty probate battle.

Once properly filed, courts generally condone the award of Year’s Support unless an objection is filed by a separate party with an interest in the estate.  If an objection is filed, it is necessary to retain an attorney, as proper accounting of the estate and procedural actions apply.  The likelihood of a successful challenge depends on a number of factors, and is an intensely fact specific inquiry.

Also worth mentioning is that an award of Year’s Support only applies to probate assets.  This means that retirement accounts such as 401k’s, IRA’s, and life insurance policies are exempt unless there is no designated beneficiary.  Similarly, accounts designated as Joint Tenants with Right of Survivorship (JTWRS) become sole property of the surviving individual upon death of the decedent, exempting themselves from reach of probate.

How Can We Help?

Before electing or petitioning for Year’s Support in Georgia, it is worth reviewing the complete fact set with a skilled attorney.  For a self- help guide on Year’s Support in Georgia, click here.  If you have any questions about Year’s Support, or any other aspect of Estate Planning in Georgia, the qualified attorney’s at Thrift & McLemore are here to help.  You can reach Thrift & McLemore by email at [email protected] or by phone at 678-671-4031 to discuss how we can assist you in creating an estate plan that works for you today.

Please visit us on the web at www.thriftlegal.com.

Porsche’s Airport Hotel Is Pampering Dogs with Dinner and Drinks (Credit: Eater Atlanta)

Solis Two Porsche Drive hotel and Apron restaurant are going the extra mile with their menu offerings for dogs flying the friendly skies

Porsche’s posh Solis Two Porsche Drive hotel located at Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport now offers “Sit, Stay, Solis” for guests traveling with their dogs. The Porsche Experience Center hotel provides an in-room dog bed, a dedicated dinner menu, and even a happy hour for dogs at Apron restaurant.

Upon check-in, guests traveling with their dogs will receive a dog bed, crate, and food and water bowls to keep their canines comfortable in their hotel rooms. Owners can then take their pups down to Apron’s dog-friendly patio for a special menu developed by executive chef Derrick Green with treats, ice cream, and “pupsicles.”

Once a month, Apron is hosting “Puptails on the Pawtio” where dogs are treated to grooming and training sessions while their owners listen to guest speakers and attend book signings. On-site adoptions days are also in the works. The next dog adoption day is scheduled for Saturday, August 18 with Lifeline Animal Project.

A $75 non-refundable pet fee is required upon check-in at the hotel. There is no weight limit for dogs staying at Solis Two Porsche Drive. Sorry, only two pets per room.

https://atlanta.eater.com/2018/7/23/17602122/two-solis-porsche-drive-dog-friendly-menu-atlanta

First Solis Hotel in U.S. to Debut at Atlanta Porsche Campus

ATLANTA GA – The 214-room Solis Two Porsche Drive — Solis Hotels and Resort’s first U.S. property — will debut in late 2017, adjacent to the Porsche Cars North America Atlanta campus, just north of the international terminal at Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport. The Solis brand is part of Capella Hotel Group’s portfolio.

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